After a recent high of $13,829 on June 26, 2019, the price of Bitcoin hit a low of $9095 before returning above $10,000, with a value of $10,700 per BTC on Tuesday, August 20.
The oldest of the cryptocurrencies experienced an almost continuous increase between April 2 and its last highest. It is therefore legitimate for investors to start questioning the possibility of a sales signal on Bitcoin.
Analysis of buyer and seller signals on the king of crypto-currencies
Several signals, both on the Bitcoin chart and the blockchain data, indicate the possibility of a return of the downward trend on the BTC. Be careful; however, the BTC may see its valuation soar upwards. A drop in valuation is simply one of the possible scenarios. You can always head up here ▷Acheter Bitcoin en 2019 – Meilleurs Sites avec Achat à Moindre Frais for more information.
1 – A decrease in the number of confirmed daily transactions
Confirmed Daily Transactions or Confirmed Transactions Per Day is a relevant indicator to be noted on the blockchain. The evolution of the number of confirmed daily transactions allows us to study the “real” use of Bitcoin as a currency. Although this data alone is not enough to indicate a trend, it serves as an indicator that must be compared with others so that we can conclude.
After a recent high of 379,181 confirmed transactions on June 30, 2019, the number of transactions recorded on the blockchain decreased significantly, reaching 306,908 transactions on July 29, a 19% decrease. This figure reflects a sharp slowdown in use and therefore demand for Bitcoins for this month of August 2019.
2 – Increasingly low bullish peaks
Since the last high of $13,829, the Bitcoin price has failed to rise above $14,000. The previous high points of the BTC reached $13,162 and $12,292 respectively on July 10 and August 6. Besides, the symbolic threshold of $10,000 for Bitcoin was broken twice downward between July 16 and 18, then between July 24 and August 1. A clear signal that Bitcoin sellers are taking control to sell Bitcoin, at least in the short term.
3 – The NVT Ratio increased sharply
The NVT Ratio or Network Value to Transaction was created and popularized by Willy Woo to estimate the valuation of a cryptocurrency. The aim here is to compare the total value of the Bitcoins in circulation with their actual use within the network.
The higher the value of the TGS, the greater the risk of a bubble and a sudden drop in prices, as demand does not justify such a high price for Bitcoin. On the other hand, if the NVT ratio is low, it means that Bitcoin is underestimated, the demand for tokens within the network being high, it will feed a future increase.
Over the past two years, the average value of the TGS ratio was 402.92. However, there was a recent bullish peak with a value of 2,199.71 on August 12. This unusually high value, almost 5.5 times the average value of the last two years, indicates that there is a risk of a fall in the price of Bitcoin. The BTC is overvalued compared to its actual daily use, according to this indicator. Read more here!
Selling Bitcoin: a short-term decision
We can conclude that selling Bitcoin may not be such a bad idea in the short term taking these three downward signals into account. The oldest cryptocurrency may be overvalued at this time, and its prices may need to be adjusted downwards.
However, it will be interesting to monitor the evolution of these indicators. After a potential drop in the price, it is very likely that in the medium term this will offer the possibility of buying Bitcoins at a “good price” by anticipating a future bullish wave.
Discussions with regulators
The Financial Times revealed in early June that Facebook had begun talks with the Commodity and Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the US agency responsible for regulating exchanges, including futures and derivatives in the United States. Christophe Giancarlo, its president, said he was “only at the first exchanges” with the social network but said that “it was brilliant”, following a demo. “We feel a solid interest in better understanding of this product. However, we can only act following an official referral, and nothing has been presented to us,” he added. According to several American media reports, Mark Zuckerberg has already consulted the Treasury and the SEC, the US financial policeman, to determine the nature of the GlobalCoin. The two institutions have not confirmed or denied this information. It should also be noted that the boss of the US giant met with the governor of the English central bank, Mark Carney.
What is the libra?
The libra will be a crypto-currency indexed to a basket of stable fiat currencies (not yet defined), probably the dollar, euro, pound sterling, and yuan. It will, therefore, be a stablecoin, i.e., a stable cryptocurrency. For example, if the price of bitcoin is $10,000 and you exchange 1 bitcoin for libra, you will have 10,000 libra units. If the price of Bitcoin drops to $5,000, you will still have $10,000 in libra. In addition to being stable, Facebook’s crypto will be instantly exchanged since it will not need to go through the banking network.
What is the purpose of the libra?
The libra will be able to be exchanged between Internet users as it is now possible to make money transfers peer-to-peer via applications such as Lydia, Pumpkin, or PayPal. It will be possible to exchange libras via an app created by Facebook: Calibra. It is a wallet that will allow you to buy, sell, and store Facebook’s crypto. Finally, it will also be via the Facebook, WhatsApp, and Messenger platforms. In total, more than 2.7 billion people use at least one platform of the group’s ecosystem (Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp) each month. The bookstore will also be used to pay for purchases from partner merchants. At the moment, we can count Uber, Booking, Spotify, eBay, Lyft, and Iliad, among others. As far as transaction costs are concerned, the chances are that they will be low.
The Libra blockchain
Libra cryptocurrency is based on a “permission” blockchain, which means that access to the protocol must be validated, unlike Bitcoin, a public blockchain, open to all. Facebook wants the blockchain to be without permission in the long run, but that this is not possible because “there is currently no proven solution that can offer the scale, stability, and security necessary to support billions of people and transactions around the world within a network without permission,” it is written in the presentation document.
The changes brought by digital currency technology has completely disrupted the payment market. The method of payment preferred by the new generations (especially millennials) when they shop in physical outlets is the bank card. And today, it is becoming increasingly rare to see cash payments in retail.
Bitcoin to replace cash and restore the balance
Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency that is not controlled by governments and banks. Its technology allows a total decentralization of money transfer from a private individual to a private individual. Bitcoin could, therefore, replace cash and become the “digital cash.”
Indeed, there are some similarities between Bitcoin and cash:
- Bitcoin is difficult to track, and transactions can be anonymous through decentralized exchanges. The same applies to money, where payments are made manually.
- Bitcoin very often escapes taxation because earnings are not reported and control bodies are not at the level. Cash also often escapes taxation and allows traders not to report all their income.
- Bitcoin is exchanged from one person to another without going through a third party (Bank). Cash is also transferred from one person to another, and payments are made by hand.
Small businesses are short of cash
A few years ago, retailers used not to report all the money they received. It allowed them to have a part that was exempt from taxation and left them a little bit of fat. This cash was reinjected into the economy and supported other businesses that in turn spent on local businesses.
This scenario no longer exists today because most of the payments are digital and are therefore declared. Local commerce has also suffered from competition from pure digital players that have disrupted entire markets (Amazon example). In short, small businesses lack cash.
Tomorrow the cash will disappear
We are moving towards a “zero cash” society. In some countries, such as Sweden, less than 15% of payments are made in cash. And politicians believe that a “zero cash” society would reduce tax evasion.
Bitcoin will continue to grow
If the theory demonstrated in this article tends to be realized and Bitcoin replaces cash, then cash could be used by billions of people around the world. And its value is also likely to increase sharply in the coming years.
Imagine a world where Bitcoin payments will be accepted everywhere; you can pay for your holidays in Bitcoin, pay for the work in your house in Bitcoin, etc. And these transactions will not necessarily be declared!
Yes, but then the state will have less control? Isn’t that dangerous?
What is dangerous is the limitless control and the reduction of freedoms. Bitcoin and species help to restore the balance. I don’t think Bitcoin will replace traditional currencies, but it will be used as a complement to give power back to the little people!
Cryptocurrency has always commanded a large audience and has also shown us ways in which we can use the underlying blockchain functionality, which will improve the current systems. Cryptocurrency booming and revolution has been referenced a lot of times, but the question is what can be expected from cryptocurrency in the next few years. Since it has changed a lot over the last couple of years, we should see if it will affect our lives in ways that we don’t know yet.
Some people predict that the next couple of years will see considerable changes in cryptocurrency as institutional money continues to enter the market. This would mean that big investments would take an intense revolutionary step forward. The number of daily cryptocurrency interactions is going up per year, every year, this clearly indicates growth and in a positive way. Moreover, there is also a big possibility that cryptocurrency may get floated on the NASDAQ, which can potentially add further credibility to the blockchain and its uses. Some even cite that in the year 2019, we would see a shift in a leading force behind cryptocurrency. If Bitcoin opens a vault and lets the mainstream to understand the complexities of cryptocurrency, it will see cataclysmic changes in the near future.
Just like for everything, there are critics of cryptocurrency and also its uses in the future, and some of these critics cite that the volatility of Bitcoin especially may actually render the coin boom to be worthless. It is undoubtedly possible that Bitcoin may actually lose its value as other alternatives may gain immense value and end up taking the market share, which would have been reserved for Bitcoin. This possibility actually combines with the idea that cryptocurrency is actually just the start of what blockchain functionality actually offers.
With modernisation world is witnessing many changes with time. It is no amusement with how advanced the things have grown into. If you need to purchase any product, you do not have to go out looking for it in hundreds of shops and instead you prefer getting it online. With exciting offers and discount, it also becomes exciting and feasible for you to shop. We are walking through the digital world today already and are waiting for such advancements in advance. Such digitalization has improved the growth of the counties not just fundamentally but also economically. Cryptocurrency is also a great example of digital world. Cryptocurrency is nothing but a digital currency which made a jump through educational platform when the encryption technology cryptography did not just remain a virtual format of knowledge but entered the real world and introduced Bitcoin. Just when this currency was introduced it started getting investors and started growing with pace. Soon, it got huge investments from big brands like Microsoft and the value of bitcoin raised to about 233$ per coin, which in no way is a small amount and this became a day to remember in the history of cryptocurrency.
Though it is still facing many challenges in the markets and almost is stuck in between the debates of what are the future scope of this currency and specially the bitcoin. This debate caught an urge and currency was banned in many countries including India although the growth did not stop. Even today, the bitcoin value is rising with time and has got many leading competitors too trying to raise their bars in order to stand right by the shoulders to bitcoin.