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After a recent high of $13,829 on June 26, 2019, the price of Bitcoin hit a low of $9095 before returning above $10,000, with a value of $10,700 per BTC on Tuesday, August 20.

The oldest of the cryptocurrencies experienced an almost continuous increase between April 2 and its last highest. It is therefore legitimate for investors to start questioning the possibility of a sales signal on Bitcoin.

Analysis of buyer and seller signals on the king of crypto-currencies

Several signals, both on the Bitcoin chart and the blockchain data, indicate the possibility of a return of the downward trend on the BTC. Be careful; however, the BTC may see its valuation soar upwards. A drop in valuation is simply one of the possible scenarios. You can always head up here ▷Acheter Bitcoin en 2019 – Meilleurs Sites avec Achat à Moindre Frais for more information.

1 – A decrease in the number of confirmed daily transactions

Confirmed Daily Transactions or Confirmed Transactions Per Day is a relevant indicator to be noted on the blockchain. The evolution of the number of confirmed daily transactions allows us to study the “real” use of Bitcoin as a currency. Although this data alone is not enough to indicate a trend, it serves as an indicator that must be compared with others so that we can conclude.

After a recent high of 379,181 confirmed transactions on June 30, 2019, the number of transactions recorded on the blockchain decreased significantly, reaching 306,908 transactions on July 29, a 19% decrease. This figure reflects a sharp slowdown in use and therefore demand for Bitcoins for this month of August 2019.

2 – Increasingly low bullish peaks

Since the last high of $13,829, the Bitcoin price has failed to rise above $14,000. The previous high points of the BTC reached $13,162 and $12,292 respectively on July 10 and August 6. Besides, the symbolic threshold of $10,000 for Bitcoin was broken twice downward between July 16 and 18, then between July 24 and August 1. A clear signal that Bitcoin sellers are taking control to sell Bitcoin, at least in the short term.

3 – The NVT Ratio increased sharply

The NVT Ratio or Network Value to Transaction was created and popularized by Willy Woo to estimate the valuation of a cryptocurrency. The aim here is to compare the total value of the Bitcoins in circulation with their actual use within the network.

The higher the value of the TGS, the greater the risk of a bubble and a sudden drop in prices, as demand does not justify such a high price for Bitcoin. On the other hand, if the NVT ratio is low, it means that Bitcoin is underestimated, the demand for tokens within the network being high, it will feed a future increase.

Over the past two years, the average value of the TGS ratio was 402.92. However, there was a recent bullish peak with a value of 2,199.71 on August 12. This unusually high value, almost 5.5 times the average value of the last two years, indicates that there is a risk of a fall in the price of Bitcoin. The BTC is overvalued compared to its actual daily use, according to this indicator. Read more here!

Selling Bitcoin: a short-term decision

We can conclude that selling Bitcoin may not be such a bad idea in the short term taking these three downward signals into account. The oldest cryptocurrency may be overvalued at this time, and its prices may need to be adjusted downwards.

However, it will be interesting to monitor the evolution of these indicators. After a potential drop in the price, it is very likely that in the medium term this will offer the possibility of buying Bitcoins at a “good price” by anticipating a future bullish wave.

Discussions with regulators

The Financial Times revealed in early June that Facebook had begun talks with the Commodity and Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the US agency responsible for regulating exchanges, including futures and derivatives in the United States. Christophe Giancarlo, its president, said he was “only at the first exchanges” with the social network but said that “it was brilliant”, following a demo. “We feel a solid interest in better understanding of this product. However, we can only act following an official referral, and nothing has been presented to us,” he added. According to several American media reports, Mark Zuckerberg has already consulted the Treasury and the SEC, the US financial policeman, to determine the nature of the GlobalCoin. The two institutions have not confirmed or denied this information. It should also be noted that the boss of the US giant met with the governor of the English central bank, Mark Carney.

What is the libra?

The libra will be a crypto-currency indexed to a basket of stable fiat currencies (not yet defined), probably the dollar, euro, pound sterling, and yuan. It will, therefore, be a stablecoin, i.e., a stable cryptocurrency. For example, if the price of bitcoin is $10,000 and you exchange 1 bitcoin for libra, you will have 10,000 libra units. If the price of Bitcoin drops to $5,000, you will still have $10,000 in libra. In addition to being stable, Facebook’s crypto will be instantly exchanged since it will not need to go through the banking network.

What is the purpose of the libra?

The libra will be able to be exchanged between Internet users as it is now possible to make money transfers peer-to-peer via applications such as Lydia, Pumpkin, or PayPal. It will be possible to exchange libras via an app created by Facebook: Calibra. It is a wallet that will allow you to buy, sell, and store Facebook’s crypto. Finally, it will also be via the Facebook, WhatsApp, and Messenger platforms. In total, more than 2.7 billion people use at least one platform of the group’s ecosystem (Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp) each month. The bookstore will also be used to pay for purchases from partner merchants. At the moment, we can count Uber, Booking, Spotify, eBay, Lyft, and Iliad, among others. As far as transaction costs are concerned, the chances are that they will be low.

The Libra blockchain

Libra cryptocurrency is based on a “permission” blockchain, which means that access to the protocol must be validated, unlike Bitcoin, a public blockchain, open to all. Facebook wants the blockchain to be without permission in the long run, but that this is not possible because “there is currently no proven solution that can offer the scale, stability, and security necessary to support billions of people and transactions around the world within a network without permission,” it is written in the presentation document.

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